Boreham Wood v Harrogate: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 4.0 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Harrogate to score 74%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.3 goals from Boreham Wood and 1.7 from Harrogate, so Boreham Wood come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Harrogate to score. This is about Harrogate's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.