How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Wealdstone to score 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Boston Utd and 1.2 from Wealdstone, so Boston Utd come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Wealdstone to score. This is about Wealdstone's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Boston Utd have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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