Harrogate v Tamworth: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 4.2 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Tamworth to score 75%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.5 goals from Harrogate and 1.7 from Tamworth, so Harrogate come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Harrogate come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Tamworth to score. This is about Tamworth's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.