How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored. We made Carlisle (Draw No Bet) 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Carlisle and 1.2 from Scunthorpe, so Carlisle come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Carlisle (Draw No Bet). Carlisle are favoured here (xG 2.0-1.2), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Carlisle defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Carlisle have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
