What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Gateshead and 1.9 from Southend, so Southend come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Southend to win. Southend shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.9), and we make them about 59% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Gateshead have won one of their last five.
✓Southend have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
10 Mar 2026Southend 1 - 1 Gateshead
9 Aug 2025Gateshead 0 - 3 Southend
5 May 2025Gateshead 0 - 0 Southend
28 Sept 2024Southend 1 - 3 Gateshead
3 Feb 2024Southend 0 - 1 Gateshead
