How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Woking (Draw No Bet) 60%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Gateshead and 1.5 from Woking, so Woking come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Woking (Draw No Bet). Woking are favoured here (xG 1.2-1.5), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Woking defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.75, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Gateshead win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 60% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
