How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Aldershot to score 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Sutton and 1.4 from Aldershot, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Aldershot to score. This is about Aldershot's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
All four of the last meetings were drawn.
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