How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Guaraní or Draw 80%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Rubio Ñú and 1.6 from Guaraní, so Guaraní come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Guaraní or Draw. This covers Guaraní or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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