What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Rubio Ñú and 0.7 from Sportivo San Lorenzo, so Rubio Ñú come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.8 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Sportivo San Lorenzo come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rubio Ñú (Draw No Bet). Rubio Ñú are favoured here (xG 1.2-0.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Rubio Ñú defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Sportivo San Lorenzo win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. The price is shorter than our own read of about 70%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
