What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from ADC Juan Pablo II and 1.1 from Sport Boys, so ADC Juan Pablo II come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: ADC Juan Pablo II or Draw. This covers ADC Juan Pablo II or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓ADC Juan Pablo II are unbeaten in their last three — two wins and one draw.
✓Sport Boys have won one of their last three.
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