What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Asociación Deportiva Tarma and 1.3 from Cienciano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Asociación Deportiva Tarma come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Asociación Deportiva Tarma to win. Asociación Deportiva Tarma are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make them about 37% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
