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Football/Premier League/Chelsea v Leeds
Premier League · Stamford Bridge

Chelsea v Leeds prediction

Chelsea crestChelsea4th of 20 · 16 ptsLWWLW
v
Leeds crestLeeds11th of 20 · 11 ptsDLDDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Chelsea and 1.2 from Leeds, so Chelsea come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.71, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Chelsea have won three of their last five.
✓Leeds have not won any of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

9 Sept 2026Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds United
10 Feb 2026Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
3 Dec 2025Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
4 Mar 2023Chelsea 1 - 0 Leeds
21 Aug 2022Leeds 3 - 0 Chelsea

The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.

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More Premier League fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Saturday, 21 November 2026 →
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