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Football/Premier League/Liverpool v Arsenal
Premier League · Anfield

Liverpool v Arsenal prediction

Liverpool crestLiverpool5th of 20 · 12 ptsWWLWW
v
Arsenal crestArsenal2nd of 20 · 15 ptsWWLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Liverpool and 1.4 from Arsenal, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Liverpool come into this on two straight wins. Arsenal come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Liverpool have won four of their last five.
✓Arsenal have won four of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

8 Jan 2026Arsenal 0 - 0 Liverpool
31 Aug 2025Liverpool 1 - 0 Arsenal
11 May 2025Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal
27 Oct 2024Arsenal 2 - 2 Liverpool
4 Feb 2024Arsenal 3 - 1 Liverpool

The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

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More Premier League fixtures

Full fixture list
Every game on Sunday, 1 November 2026 →
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