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Football/Premier League/Leeds v Tottenham
Premier League

Leeds v Tottenham prediction

Leeds crestLeeds11th of 20 · 11 ptsDLDDL
v
Tottenham crestTottenham8th of 20 · 12 ptsLDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Leeds and 1.3 from Tottenham, so Leeds come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Tottenham come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 58%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 58 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Leeds have not won any of their last five.
✓Tottenham have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

11 May 2026Tottenham 1 - 1 Leeds
4 Oct 2025Leeds 1 - 2 Tottenham
28 May 2023Leeds 1 - 4 Tottenham
12 Nov 2022Tottenham 4 - 3 Leeds
26 Feb 2022Leeds 0 - 4 Tottenham

Tottenham have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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Arsenal crestArsenalvHullHull crest★★★★★
Arsenal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.6), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookArsenal to win · 1.18Share
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