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Football/Premier League/Leeds v Brentford
Premier League

Leeds v Brentford prediction

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Brentford crestBrentfordDDWWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Leeds and 1.4 from Brentford, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Leeds come into this on two straight wins. Brentford come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Leeds have won three of their last five.
Brentford are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

21 Mar 2026Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
14 Dec 2025Brentford 1 - 1 Leeds
22 Jan 2023Leeds 0 - 0 Brentford
3 Sept 2022Brentford 5 - 2 Leeds
22 May 2022Brentford 1 - 2 Leeds
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.

One thing to watch

One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. At around 60% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.

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