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Premier League

Tottenham v Newcastle prediction

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Newcastle crestNewcastleDWLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Tottenham and 1.6 from Newcastle, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Newcastle come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.6), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Tottenham have won two of their last five.
Newcastle have won one of their last five.
Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

10 Feb 2026Tottenham 1 - 2 Newcastle
2 Dec 2025Newcastle 2 - 2 Tottenham
4 Jan 2025Tottenham 1 - 2 Newcastle
1 Sept 2024Newcastle 2 - 1 Tottenham
13 Apr 2024Newcastle 4 - 0 Tottenham
Newcastle have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. We make it about 62% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.

More Premier League fixtures

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