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Football/Premier League/Liverpool v Man United
Premier League · Anfield

Liverpool v Man United prediction

Liverpool crestLiverpool5th of 20 · 15 ptsLWWWW
v
Man United crestMan United17th of 20 · 7 ptsLDLLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.9 goals from Liverpool and 1.3 from Man United, so Liverpool come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Liverpool come into this on four straight wins. Man United come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.9-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.52, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Liverpool have won four of their last five.
✓Man United have not won any of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

3 May 2026Man United 3 - 2 Liverpool
19 Oct 2025Liverpool 1 - 2 Man United
5 Jan 2025Liverpool 2 - 2 Man United
1 Sept 2024Man United 0 - 3 Liverpool
7 Apr 2024Man United 2 - 2 Liverpool

Man United have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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