What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Casa Pia and 1.5 from Sp Braga, so Sp Braga come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sp Braga come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sp Braga or Draw. This covers Sp Braga or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Sp Braga have won three of the last five meetings.
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