v
★★★★★This covers Gil Vicente or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
Primeira Liga
FootballThe fixtures we cover this week with what we expect from each game, and the table as it stands.
9Matches
6Top picks
First kickoff
This week
Friday 9 October
Saturday 10 October
v
★★★★★This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.3). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
v
★★★★★Porto shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-2.1), and we make them about 75% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
v
★★★★★This is about Estoril's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
Sunday 11 October
v
★★★★★This covers Rio Ave or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
v
★★★★★Benfica are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.7), and we make them about 79% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
v
★★★★★This should be an open game: we make it around 3.2 goals between the two (xG 1.9-1.3), landing about 75% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
