Argentinos Jrs v Tigre: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 1.8 goals; the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 57%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

Argentinos Jrs host Tigre at home in a Primera División clash on 4 October 2026. The home side sit top of the 15-team table with 18 points from ten games and a +4 goal difference. Tigre are down in 11th place with 12 points and a neutral goal difference. The gap between first and the spot just below is zero points, while Tigre sit two points behind the team above them and three points ahead of the side below. Both clubs will be looking to improve their positions, but the stakes are higher for Argentinos Jrs who are defending the summit.

Argentinos Jrs have been inconsistent in their last eight outings, winning three, drawing three and losing two. Their most recent result was a 1-0 defeat away to Rosario Central. Before that they drew 1-1 with Gimnasia L.P. at home, then held Barracas Central 0-0 away, beat Aldosivi 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with Lanus away and suffered a 2-0 loss to River Plate away. In those eight games they have scored seven goals and let in seven, keeping two clean sheets while failing to find the net three times. Their last three fixtures have all been without a win, but at home they have not lost, recording two wins and a draw in their three most recent home games.

Tigre arrive on the back of four straight defeats. In their last eight matches they have won two, drawn two and lost four. Their most recent outings were two 3-2 losses away to Vélez Sarsfield, a 1-0 home loss to Rosario Central and a 2-1 away loss to Gimnasia L.P. Prior to that they drew 0-0 with Barracas Central at home and beat Central Córdoba 2-1 at home. Across those eight games Tigre have scored eight and conceded ten, keeping three clean sheets and also failing to score in three matches. Their last four road games have yielded no wins, one draw and three defeats.

The two sides have met five times before, each winning two games with one draw. Those meetings have produced an average of 1.8 goals per game. The most recent encounter was a 1-1 draw on 16 March 2026. Given the low scoring averages and the tight nature of their previous clashes, we expect another quiet affair, likely to stay around the 1.8-goal mark.

Our pick is that both teams will not score. The price of 1.56 is shorter than our reading of the game, which points to a tight, low-scoring contest. Argentinos Jrs have a 74 % chance of scoring at least once and a 40 % chance of scoring twice, while Tigre have a 53 % chance of finding the net and only a 17 % chance of scoring more than once. If the home side manage a clean sheet or Tigre fail to score, the bet should succeed. It would go wrong if both sides manage to score, which our chance of that happening sits at 57 % against the price.