How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Not both teams to score 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Huracan host Aldosivi in the Primera División on 4 October 2026. Huracan sit higher in the table while Aldosivi are 13th of 15 with only eight points from ten games and a –4 goal difference. Banfield sit just one place above them and Racing Club one place below, so a win would lift Aldosivi out of the relegation zone. The numbers show Huracan as the stronger side, but both teams are close in the standings and a tight result could change the shape of the table.
Huracan come into this match on the back of two straight victories. They beat River Plate 2-1 away and then defeated Racing Club 2-1 at home. Before those wins they drew 1-1 with Belgrano away, 1-1 with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home and 0-0 with Dep. Riestra at home, then lost 2-0 to Sarmiento Junín away. In their last eight games they have three wins, four draws and one loss, scoring eight goals and conceding six. They kept three clean sheets and failed to find the net in three matches. At home their last four outings produced one win and three draws, with no defeats.
Aldosivi have struggled in recent weeks. Their last eight results contain two wins, one draw and five losses. They opened the run with a 1-0 home win over Atl. Tucumán, then fell 4-3 away to Ind. Rivadavia, followed by a 3-1 home victory over Banfield. After that they lost 2-1 away to Argentinos Jrs, were beaten 3-1 at home by Union de Santa Fe and drew 0-0 with Tigre at home. Their three most recent road games have all been defeats. In total they have scored eleven and let in fourteen, kept two clean sheets and have been shut out once. Their last match was 13 days ago.
When the two sides meet, the games have been low-scoring. In the last five meetings Huracan have won twice, Aldosivi once and two draws have been recorded. The average number of goals in those encounters is 2.2. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate on 16 March 2026. Given the recent form and the historical pattern, we expect another quiet affair with few chances and a good chance of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
Our pick is that both teams will not score. The price of 1.53 looks short compared with our reading of the game. Huracan are likely to find the net at least once – they have an 80 % chance of scoring – while Aldosivi’s chance of scoring is under 50 %. A clean sheet for either side would be enough for the bet to succeed, and the odds give us a decent return. The pick could fail if Aldosivi manage to break through twice or if Huracan are held scoreless, but the odds of that happening are low. We think the price is attractive for a game that should produce around two goals in total.
Recent results
Huracan have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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