Atl. Tucuman v River Plate: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 53%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Atl. Tucuman and 1.2 from River Plate, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

River Plate come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 1.0-1.2). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.

We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.