What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Atl. Tucuman and 1.1 from River Plate, so River Plate come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Atl. Tucuman come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 0.9-1.1). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
It only takes one lapse at either end — both sides finding the net is never far away. The price is shorter than our own read of about 56%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
