How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 7. Both teams scored. We made Ind. Rivadavia to score 2 or fewer 74%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Ind. Rivadavia and 0.8 from Aldosivi, so Ind. Rivadavia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Ind. Rivadavia to score 2 or fewer. This is about Ind. Rivadavia's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.7 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.32, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last three meetings are split 1-1, with one drawn.
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