How it turned out
We projected about 2.0 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Over 1.5 goals 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Banfield and 1.0 from Belgrano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. Goals expected. The model projects about 2.2 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Banfield have won two of their last five.
✓Belgrano have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
8 Feb 2026Belgrano 1 - 0 Banfield
10 Aug 2025Belgrano 2 - 1 Banfield
7 Feb 2025Banfield 1 - 1 Belgrano
6 Nov 2024Banfield 1 - 1 Belgrano
27 Jun 2023Belgrano 3 - 1 Banfield
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