How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Boca Juniors come into this on two straight draws. Velez Sarsfield come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.0 goals in total (xG 1.3-0.8), keeping it under more often than not (about 61%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell. The price is shorter than our own read of about 61%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
