How it turned out
We projected about 1.6 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Belgrano (Draw No Bet) 64%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Belgrano and 0.7 from Huracan, so Belgrano come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 1.6 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Huracan come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Belgrano (Draw No Bet). Belgrano are favoured here (xG 1.0-0.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Belgrano defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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