How it turned out
We projected about 1.5 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 55%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Platense host Deportivo Riestra at home on 4 September. Platense sit 10th of 15 with nine points from eight games and a -4 goal difference. Riestra are just one place above them, only a point ahead, while Estudiantes sit two points below Platense. Both clubs are stuck in the middle of the table and a win could lift them a spot, but a loss would see them slip further down. The table shows them almost neck-and-neck, so the match matters for both sides’ chances of climbing.
In their last eight outings Platense have won two, drawn two and lost four. The most recent results were a 1-0 defeat away to Defensa y Justicia, a 2-1 win away at Barracas Central, a 1-1 draw at home with Boca Juniors and a 1-0 win away at Independiente. Before that they fell 4-0 at home to Talleres Córdoba and lost 2-1 away to Instituto. Across those eight games they have scored seven and let in thirteen. They have kept only one clean sheet and have failed to find the net in three matches. Their four home games in this spell have produced no wins, two draws and two defeats.
Riestra’s form over the same period shows two wins, three draws and three losses. Their latest fixtures were a 1-1 home draw with Vélez Sarsfield, a goalless away draw with Huracán and a 2-0 away loss to Newell’s Old Boys. Earlier they beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 at home, then lost 1-0 at home to Barracas Central and 2-1 away to Defensa y Justicia. In eight games they have scored seven and conceded six. They have kept four clean sheets but have also failed to score in four matches. Their last two results are both draws, and they are coming into this game after a six-day break.
The two clubs have met four times before. Platense have not won any of those meetings, Riestra have one win and the other three ended in draws. The games have been very low-scoring, averaging just 0.8 goals each, and the most recent encounter was a 0-0 stalemate on 2 March. Given the history of tight affairs and the similar goal expectations of 0.8 for each side, we expect another quiet contest with few chances and possibly a clean sheet for one side.
Our pick is that both teams will not score. The expected total of 1.5 goals points to a tight, low-key game. The price of 1.46 looks short compared with our reading, which makes the bet attractive. For this to go wrong, both sides would need to find the net, which seems unlikely given the recent lack of goals and the history of goalless draws. We give this a 55 % chance of happening.
Recent results
Dep. Riestra have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
