What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Rosario Central and 0.5 from Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, so Rosario Central come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Rosario Central come into this on five straight wins. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Rosario Central to win. Rosario Central are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.5), and we make them about 76% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.20, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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