Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P.: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Rosario Central (Draw No Bet) 69%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Rosario Central and 0.8 from Gimnasia L.P., so Rosario Central come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Gimnasia L.P. come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Rosario Central (Draw No Bet). Rosario Central are favoured here (xG 1.4-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Rosario Central defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.25, which works out at about 80 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

Recent meetings