What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Union de Santa Fe and 1.1 from Independiente, so Union de Santa Fe come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.6 goals between the two (xG 1.4-1.2). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
