What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Velez Sarsfield and 0.8 from Gimnasia Mendoza, so Velez Sarsfield come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Velez Sarsfield or Draw. This covers Velez Sarsfield or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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