How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Al-Rayyan or Draw 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Al-Arabi and 2.0 from Al-Rayyan, so Al-Rayyan come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al-Rayyan come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Rayyan or Draw. This covers Al-Rayyan or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Al-Rayyan have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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