How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Al-Ahli or Draw 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Al-Shahaniya and 1.9 from Al-Ahli, so Al-Ahli come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al-Shahaniya come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Ahli or Draw. This covers Al-Ahli or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Al-Ahli have won three of the last five meetings.
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