How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Al-Sadd to win 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Al-Sadd to win. Al-Sadd are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.7-1.3), and we make them about 66% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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