What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Al-Wakrah and 1.6 from Al-Shamal, so Al-Shamal come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al-Wakrah come into this on two straight defeats. Al-Shamal come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al-Shamal to win. Al-Shamal shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.30, which works out at about 43 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
