What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from FCSB and 0.8 from Petrolul, so FCSB come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: FCSB to win. FCSB are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 59% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓FCSB have won two of their last five.
✓Petrolul have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
24 Apr 2026FCSB 3 - 1 Petrolul
22 Nov 2025FCSB 1 - 1 Petrolul
19 Jul 2025Petrolul 0 - 1 FCSB
6 Feb 2025Petrolul 0 - 0 FCSB
21 Sept 2024FCSB 1 - 1 Petrolul
