What to expect
We expect about 2.6 goals from CSKA Moscow and 0.9 from Rodina Moscow, so CSKA Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Rodina Moscow come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: CSKA Moscow to win. CSKA Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.9), and we make them about 74% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Previews like this one are written for every fixture we cover, and the data behind them is not free. If this was worth reading, you can help pay for it. Support us →
