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Football/Russian Premier League/Dynamo Makhachkala v Rodina Moscow
Russian Premier League · Anzhi Arena

Dynamo Makhachkala v Rodina Moscow: how it went

Dynamo Makhachkala crestDynamo Makhachkala7th of 16 · 12 ptsLDDWW
2 - 0
Rodina Moscow crestRodina Moscow15th of 16 · 5 ptsLWLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Over 1.5 goals 71%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.8 goals from Dynamo Makhachkala and 1.0 from Rodina Moscow, so Dynamo Makhachkala come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Dynamo Makhachkala come into this on two straight wins. Rodina Moscow come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.8-1.0), landing about 73% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Dynamo Makhachkala have won two of their last five.
✓Rodina Moscow have won one of their last four.

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