How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made FK Rostov (Draw No Bet) 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from FK Rostov and 0.8 from Fakel Voronezh, so FK Rostov come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Fakel Voronezh come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FK Rostov (Draw No Bet). FK Rostov are favoured here (xG 1.4-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FK Rostov defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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