How it turned out
The game finished with 4 goals. Both teams scored. We made Dynamo Moscow to win 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Our pick: Dynamo Moscow to win. Dynamo Moscow the stronger side (xG 1.8-0.8), 65% to win.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Dynamo Moscow have won two of their last five.
✓Dynamo Makhachkala have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
23 Nov 2025Dynamo Moscow 3 - 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
31 Aug 2025Dynamo Makhachkala 1 - 0 Dynamo Moscow
8 Mar 2025Dynamo Moscow 4 - 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
29 Sept 2024Dynamo Makhachkala 0 - 1 Dynamo Moscow
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Dynamo Makhachkala a draw or better. At around 65% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
