What to expect
Our pick: CSKA Moscow to win. CSKA Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-0.9), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓CSKA Moscow have won three of their last five.
✓FK Rostov have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
21 Apr 2026CSKA Moscow 1 - 1 FK Rostov
14 Sept 2025FK Rostov 1 - 0 CSKA Moscow
23 Nov 2024CSKA Moscow 1 - 2 FK Rostov
20 Jul 2024FK Rostov 0 - 0 CSKA Moscow
3 Dec 2023CSKA Moscow 2 - 0 FK Rostov
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn FK Rostov a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 56%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
