How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Zenit come into this on five straight wins. Rodina Moscow come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.8 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.61, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out. At around 69% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
