How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Under 2.5 goals 57%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a low-scoring game. We think there will not be many clear chances to score. The odds of under 2.5 goals seem fair to us.
What the numbers say
✓Fakel Voronezh have not won any of their last five.
✓Akhmat Grozny have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent results
5 Apr 2025Fakel Voronezh 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
18 Oct 2024Akhmat Grozny 2 - 3 Fakel Voronezh
25 May 2024Fakel Voronezh 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
4 Nov 2023Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Fakel Voronezh
16 Apr 2023Fakel Voronezh 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
Fakel Voronezh have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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