What to expect
I like this pick because the price looks good for a low-scoring game. We think there will not be many clear chances to score. The odds of under 2.5 goals seem fair to us.
What the numbers say
✓Fakel Voronezh have not won any of their last five.
✓Akhmat Grozny have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
5 Apr 2025Fakel Voronezh 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
18 Oct 2024Akhmat Grozny 2 - 3 Fakel Voronezh
25 May 2024Fakel Voronezh 2 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
4 Nov 2023Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Fakel Voronezh
16 Apr 2023Fakel Voronezh 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
One thing to watch
One end-to-end spell, or a defensive mistake, and the goals can pile up before either side settles. We make it about 59% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.