How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 5. We made Lokomotiv Moscow to score 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Fakel Voronezh and 1.5 from Lokomotiv Moscow, so Lokomotiv Moscow come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Lokomotiv Moscow to score. This is about Lokomotiv Moscow's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 79%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Lokomotiv Moscow have won five of the last five meetings.
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