How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Krasnodar to win 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.2 goals from Krasnodar and 0.8 from Akhmat Grozny, so Krasnodar come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Krasnodar come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Krasnodar to win. Krasnodar the stronger side (xG 2.1-0.7), 74% to win.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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