What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Krylya Sovetov and 0.9 from Dynamo Makhachkala, so Krylya Sovetov come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Dynamo Makhachkala come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Krylya Sovetov (Draw No Bet). Krylya Sovetov favoured (xG 1.3-0.9); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Dynamo Makhachkala win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 66% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
