How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Krylya Sovetov and 0.9 from Dynamo Makhachkala, so Krylya Sovetov come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Krylya Sovetov come into this on two straight draws. Dynamo Makhachkala come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Krylya Sovetov (Draw No Bet). Krylya Sovetov favoured (xG 1.3-0.9); a draw refunds your stake.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.73, which works out at about 58 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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