How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Orenburg and 1.9 from Krasnodar, so Krasnodar come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Krasnodar come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Orenburg to score 1 or fewer. This is about Orenburg's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 82%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 82 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Krasnodar have won five of the last five meetings.
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