What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Baltika and 1.2 from Zenit, so Zenit come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.0 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.0 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.2). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.76, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Baltika have won two of their last five.
✓Zenit have won four of their last five.
✓Four of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
27 Feb 2026Zenit 1 - 0 Baltika
14 Sept 2025Baltika 0 - 0 Zenit
7 Apr 2024Zenit 1 - 0 Baltika
4 Nov 2023Baltika 0 - 2 Zenit
