What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Al Hilal and 1.3 from Al Ahli, so Al Hilal come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al Hilal come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.8-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 61%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 61 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.55, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
One well-drilled defence, or a game that turns one-sided, and this is gone. The price is shorter than our own read of about 61%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
