How it turned out
We projected about 3.9 goals; the game finished with 2. We made Al Hilal to win 83%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 3.1 goals from Al Hilal and 0.8 from Al Fateh, so Al Hilal come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al Fateh come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al Hilal to win. Al Hilal are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.1-0.8), and we make them about 85% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 83 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Al Hilal have won five of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
